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Vol. 34, No. 4, 1991
Issue release date: 1991
Section title: Special Topic: Cognitive Uncertainty and Cognitive Development
Human Development 1991;34:204–223
(DOI:10.1159/000277055)

On the Difficulty of Detecting Cognitive Uncertainty

Acredolo C. · O’Connor J.
University of California, Davis, Calif., USA

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Article / Publication Details

First-Page Preview
Abstract of Special Topic: Cognitive Uncertainty and Cognitive Development

Published online: 1/15/2010

Number of Print Pages: 20
Number of Figures: 0
Number of Tables: 0

ISSN: 0018-716X (Print)
eISSN: 1423-0054 (Online)

For additional information: http://www.karger.com/HDE

Abstract

Uncertainty surely plays an important role in promoting and directing cognitive growth, but most investigations of children’s reasoning and problem solving have relied on procedures that are poorly suited to reveal the degree to which individuals are certain of the answers they endorse. We examine research on children’s reasoning in the context of obvious indeterminacy in order to assess whether simple modifications of the standard assessment procedures would allow us to monitor subjective certainty more reliably. It is concluded that when we set as our goal the measurement of judgment certainty, major changes in our testing methods are required. Two promising alternatives are considered, and it is hypothesized that once these new procedures are perfected and applied, we will discover that uncertainties are both prevalent and prolonged – that most of what seems to be known at any one time is actually understood only partially and therefore with some degree of uncertainty. It is argued that this is a natural and acceptable situation. Progress requires only a relative degree of confidence and not complete certainty. Persistent, vague uncertainties, on the other hand, provide continuous motivation and sensitization for further discoveries, growth, and development.


  

Author Contacts

Curt Acredolo, Department of Applied Behavioral Sciences, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616 (USA)

  

Article Information

Number of Print Pages : 20

  

Publication Details

Human Development

Vol. 34, No. 4, Year 1991 (Cover Date: 1991)

Journal Editor: Nucci L. (Berkeley, Calif.), Nunes T. (Oxford)
ISSN: 0018-716X (Print), eISSN: 1423-0054 (Online)

For additional information: http://www.karger.com/HDE


Article / Publication Details

First-Page Preview
Abstract of Special Topic: Cognitive Uncertainty and Cognitive Development

Published online: 1/15/2010

Number of Print Pages: 20
Number of Figures: 0
Number of Tables: 0

ISSN: 0018-716X (Print)
eISSN: 1423-0054 (Online)

For additional information: http://www.karger.com/HDE


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